The GOP presidential candidate of the United States Mr. Donald J. Trump and democratic counterpart Hillary Clinton are almost midway in a hard pressed race to the White House going to be held on 8th of November 2016. While it can easily be speculated there would be nothing much change from what it is now—popularly called the Obama administration—in the foreign policy should the latter win, many changes are bound to be expected if Donald Trump would be elected, including geopolitical landscape of Asia. Here we try to shortly peruse what happens to the Asian ship that floats under the global captainship of Mr. Trump.
The US presidential hopeful Donald Trump, a businessman turned politician, has his nationalist slogan upfront-“Make America Great Again.” It is, by just superficially analyzing this slogan, easily ponderable that he does not seem to give much care about the world but America.
The economic giant China would always want the US clout to dwindle away from Asian continent. Since Donald Trump is regarded aloof, with his presidency China would find it easy to achieve its geopolitical ambitions starting over from the neighborhood. Some weeks back we even witnessed an exchange of tirade between China and Trump after he told ‘we can’t continue to allow China to rape our country”, prior to his victory at Indiana. This is just one example among others. Moreover, with the suggestive dissatisfaction of Trump over China’s foreign trade policy time and again, diplomatic relationship of the US to China is more probable to suffer. We are also quite familiar with sporadic news of US avid interests and so debate against the dominion of China over South China Sea—which accounts for China’s over $5 trillion of trade annually. China even harbors the hidden ire against the States’ paws on its volition to absorb Taiwan.
One online international news magazine has maintained that US relation with Asia, as a whole, will be a disaster given his blatant yet acrimonious remark on Japanese and South Korean military dependency—despite the fact that they share a long amicable tie-up with the US. So, it is not inevitable that he would probably withdraw the army from Asia to rather fortify his own territorial regions. The impact of US leaving its hand on military control from the Asia renders the zone vulnerable to destabilization, power imbalance and even aggressive engagements as there is always North Korea lying in wait. Plus, South Korea will have to resort to neighboring China for defensive backing to save its head before it engages in war with the North or before the tense relationship with Japan—whose military system is relatively intact even on its own—further escalates. Thus, Asia will move on a topsy-turvy road of hazards.
On top of Anti-Mexican wall theory, Trump is severely criticized over his hate rhetoric against Muslim. This surely has changed the perspective of a normal Moslem towards America from yesterday to today. The Asian countries that comprise bulk of its population as Islamist do not find it pleasurable to get involved in any sort of business to the US if Trump, as a renowned Muslim hater, were the president than any other. There are not enough evidences to believe that he would be backsliding on his critical statements and hence actions on racism and religion—which most preferably should have been left untouched from politics. It cannot be merely an electioneering stunt to prop up with this belief making repeated public announcements, it is something more. He is made up of that belief and that seems to be integral Trump component to be a whole Donald Trump.
Trump policy would lever up the deportation of more Asian—he had announced to deport 11 million people living in the US without permission, living and working illegally in the US. The 2010 US Census Bureau report reveals 5.6% of the Americans have Asian origin—and it is the fastest growing demographics in America, the larger community being made up by Chinese, Filipinos and Indians. While it may not have decisive impact, many of them who will participate in the national poll going to be held on 8th November will represent the Asian sentiments over whom to be the future leader of the US.
The Trump administration would presumably come up with yet stringent checks to get US visa for the people who wish to enter America—definitely major bulk of those aspirants would be Asian. No Muslim, no poor, no Mexican, no illegal migrants. In the global village, United States would be just another sequestered island far apart where scarcely any ship would be operational. America, therefore, will be pushed farther from us than is now.
The frigid relationship, however, of the US with the Russia would face amicable omens, understood after exchanges of praise and approval between Trump and Putin—which is again recently vivified by their kissing mural created by a Lithuanian Artist. Similar might be the case, although less favorably, with North Korea as we see the earnest wish of Trump to talk direct to Kim Jong-un over the matters of nuclear program. His remark comes as something of an aberration in the conventional US foreign policy in relation to the North Korea. So, in this standpoint, we can less feebly surmise that long-term cold relation between these countries might ameliorate.
©Adhikary Rabindra 2016
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